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8.11.11

(有片)NASA科學家聲稱外星生物確實存在(AOL news)

以色列總統說對伊朗發動攻擊的可能性越來越大

Israeli President says attack on Iran is increasingly likely
Shimon Peres
Madison Ruppert, Contributing Writer
Activist Post

Today the President of Israel, Shimon Peres, said that a military strike against Iran is growing increasingly likely by the day.

This comes just days before the report on Iran’s nuclear program is going to be released by the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA), a United Nations body.

Peres has been quite clear that the push for an attack on Iran is gaining steam saying that an attack on Iran was becoming “more and more likely” in an interview on Israel’s Channel Two on Saturday.

Peres made this even clearer in a statement to Israel’s Hayom, in which he said, “The possibility of a military attack against Iran is now closer to being applied than the application of a diplomatic option”.


To make matters even worse for the world, Haaretz reported today that Israel is refusing to clear a military strike with the United States before it occurs. Panetta was reportedly seeking to coordinate U.S. efforts with Israeli efforts in combating the perceived threat of Iranian nuclear ambitions but Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu and Israeli Defense Minister Ehud Barak refused to provide a clear response, instead “answering vaguely and in general terms.”

Haaretz reports that American military officials had previously been confident that the U.S. would receive advance warning of an Israeli attack on Iran but now they are not so sure.

The IAEA report is supposedly going to reveal that Iran has indeed pursued the development of nuclear weapons including “experiments in the final stage for developing nuclear weapons including explosions and computer simulations of explosions”, according to Israeli news outlet Haaretz.

Leaks coming from anonymous sources in Vienna where the IAEA is headquartered claim that Iran has already carried out experiments in the critical stage of weaponization at the Parchin military base around 30 km outside of Tehran.

According to the leaks, the report will include documents and satellite photos that support the accusation that Iran is pursuing the development of nuclear weapons in violation of international agreements.

However, this type of satellite imagery intelligence is quite unreliable and easily falsifiable as we saw in the push to invade Iraq.

The claim of “satellite photos of the site [which] reveal a bus-sized container for conducting experiments” sounds eerily like the claims (which later turned out to be outright lies) made to justify the invasion of Iraq.

Haaretz reports that “The Associated Press and other media outlets” have reported on these alleged bus-sized containers although how they know a bus-sized container is a facility for conducting nuclear experiences is anyone’s guess.

The report is also supposedly going to reveal that Iran has started the installation of centrifuges in an underground nuclear facility near Qom.

This type of underground nuclear facility would give Iran a “second strike” capability because they are designed to absorb an aerial attack while still being able to fire back afterwards.

This is designed as a deterrence mechanism because countries without a second strike capability are at risk of being wiped out in one massive first strike without any means to retaliate.

The second strike capability makes a nuclear attack much less likely because it provides the attacker with the guarantee that they will be retaliated against if they decide to attack.

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Of course this would require that Iran has nuclear weapons to begin with, an underground nuclear power plant unto itself is not dangerous and it would not represent a second strike capability.

I do not think it is either unlikely or wholly objectionable for Iran to develop a nuclear defense strategy against the looming threat of U.S.-U.K.-Israeli aggression, although the proof showing that Iran has indeed pursued a weapons program just isn’t there.

A second strike facility is not designed for an act of nuclear aggression and the facility near Qom is subject to IAEA inspections so it is unlikely that such a facility would be used as such.

Yet this information, if true, will surely be spun to give the impression that the facility is a threat to the world instead of a defensive measure.

Regardless, anonymous diplomats cited by Haaretz say that the governing board of the IAEA will likely not condemn Iran at the November 17th-18th meeting.

They say that it would likely take months to push China and Russia into supporting a resolution which could lead toward additional UN sanctions against Iran.

Both China and Russia have been very reluctant to support broadened sanctions against both Iran and Syria, given that historically speaking it would likely be the first step on the road towards Western military intervention.

Israeli Defense Minister Barak has denied the reports circulating that Israel’s Prime Minister Netanyahu had already come to the decision that they would attack Iran.

I hope Barak is being honest and forthcoming, but my hope would be misguided if I did not temper it with reality.

In the following interview you can see Barak emphasize that “no option should be off the table” when dealing with the perceived Iranian threat.



Meanwhile, in Iran, the Foreign Minister, Ali Akbar Salehi, said that the IAEA’s report was politicized and that the report would be “baseless”.

“I believe that these documents lack authenticity. But if they insist, they should go ahead and publish. Better to face danger once than be always in danger,” Salehi said.

“We have said repeatedly that their documents are baseless. For example one can counterfeit money, but it remains counterfeit. These documents are like that,” he added.

I truly hope that all of this posturing coming from Israel is just that but I think many people around the world agree that an assault on Iran by Israel, the U.S. and/or the U.K. would be devastating for us all.

As I have previously shown, Iran isn’t shying away from rattling their sabers either (evidenced by their threat to deploy ships of the U.S. East Coast), so we must hope that one side of this conflict doesn’t escalate, or else we can expect the other side to respond in kind.

Madison Ruppert is the Editor and Owner-Operator of the alternative news and analysis database End The Lie and has no affiliation with any NGO, political party, economic school, or other organization/cause. If you have questions, comments, or corrections feel free to contact him at admin@EndtheLie.com
http://www.activistpost.com/2011/11/sraeli-president-says-attack-on-iran-is.html

以色列VS伊朗:戰爭是“不可避免”的?

Published: 07 November, 2011, 17:44
Edited: 08 November, 2011, 05:10
Speculation over a possible military strike on Iran by Israel continues as latest reports suggest Israeli Cabinet ministers previously opposed to attacking Iran have changed their minds.

­Senior members of the Israeli government have reportedly backed the possibility of striking Iran’s nuclear facilities, having been updated on Tehran’s secretive progress toward building a nuclear weapon, American sources told Fox television on Sunday.

Israeli President Shimon Peres reiterated Sunday that an attack on Iran is becoming increasingly likely.

"The possibility of a military attack against Iran is now closer to being applied than the application of a diplomatic option," Peres told the Israel Hayom daily.

The UN nuclear watchdog is expected to present evidence that Iran has worked on nuclear weapons, specifically accusing Tehran of developing computer models of a nuclear warhead.

Israeli media has been rife with talk of divisions in the government on the issue of a pre-emptive strike against Iran’s nuclear facilities.

Haaretz reported PM Netanyahu and Defense Minister Ehud Barack were seeking cabinet support for an attack.

Vice Prime Minister Moshe Ya’alon opposed the move, arguing that international sanctions against Iran be given more time, and that the US should take the lead in any military operation.

A Haaretz’s opinion poll found 41 per cent of Israelis would support an attack while 39 per cent would oppose it, 20 per cent were undecided.

On Monday, Iranian President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad has warned against any military operations towards his country, saying Tehran will not allow any possible attacks.

“The US and Israel are trying to put the world together in a war against Iran, which has no nuclear weapons in its possession,” Russian ITAR-TASS news agency quotes the Iranian leader as saying in an interview to Egypt's Al-Akhbar newspaper. “Israel poses quite a bigger threat to the region, having in possession 300 nuclear warheads.”
Anybody with us?

However, Israel’s hawkishness may isolate it in a war-weary West. With NATO and US entrenched in Iraq and Afghanistan and having blown billions on Libya, unleashing a military operation against a regional powerhouse looks unlikely.

Israel’s main ally, the US, is heavy on anti-Iran rhetoric but denies seeking to provoke any conflict.

Crucially though, US officials failed to secure a commitment from Israel that it would coordinate a strike against Tehran with Washington, AFP reported.

French FM Alain Juppe also addressed the issue, stating "Everything must be done to avoid the irreversible." "We have imposed sanctions that continue to expand, we can toughen them to put pressure on Iran," Juppe told Europe 1 radio. "We will continue on this path because a military intervention could create a situation that completely destabilizes the region."

­Moscow in the middle

­Russia’s FM warned against attacking Iran, saying that the strike would be a serious mistake with unpredictable consequences. He underlined that there can be no military solutions to international conflicts.

“We get evidence of that every day when we see how problems around Iran are being solved: whether it’s in Iraq, or Afghanistan or what is happening in other countries in the region,” the minister said Monday.

But as focus turns to the IAEA report, Iran seems to be getting its defense in first.

The Iranian FM has already accused the agency of "political" behavior and labeled the report "baseless."

A senior Iranian cleric, Ayatollah Ahmad Khatami, appealed to IAEA chief Yukiya Amano not to defame the body by publishing “false” documents.

­Anne Penketh of the British American Security Information Council believes that "Russia fears that ratcheting up the pressure" risks heading down the path to yet another war.

“Russia believes that diplomacy is the way to solve this crisis with Iran,” Penketh said. “My understanding is that this report aims to show that Iran has been working aspects which could only be related to a nuclear weapon. Now of course because of the Iraq precedent, when intelligence proved to be faulty, I think the burden of proof in this case is going to be much higher. And in fact my understanding is that the Russians and the Chinese were actually trying to persuade the IAEA Director General to postpone coming out with this report at this time.”


Seyed Mohammad Marandi, a Professor at the University of Tehran, however, is convinced that Israel does not have any military potential to resort to its threats, and the warnings of a possible attack have quite specific purposes.

“I think the intention is to put pressure on Iran and also to put pressure on other countries – independent countries like China and Russia and others – to agree with new sanctions by sort of portraying [Iran] as a mad dog, attack dog that needs to be somehow controlled, so that if they agree to new sanctions, something bad will be prevented from happening,” Marandi told RT. “There is a general trend to try to corner Iran," he added.

Commenting on the IAEA report on the Iran nuclear program due to be released, he questioned the legitimacy of the document.

“The whole report itself is based on forged documents,” Marandi told RT. “There is absolutely nothing new in the report. All the documents that are supposed to come out are from the year 2004 and before. And [former IAEA director Mohamed] ElBaradei’s assessment was completely in opposition to what the new head of the IAEA is making. All of these documents have been refuted in the past.”


http://rt.com/news/iran-israel-attack-government-715/

傳前蘇聯科學家 助伊朗製核武

星島日報 – 5小時前
(綜合報道)(星島日報報道)《華盛頓郵報》引述西方外交官和核專家透露,聯合國國際原子能機構(IAEA)獲得的情報顯示,伊朗政府在外國科學家,包括前蘇聯、北韓和巴基斯坦科學家的幫助下,克服了一些重要的技術障礙,現已掌控了建造核武器所需的關鍵步驟。

  國際原子能機構將於本周提交一份伊朗核計畫的報告,據悉報告披露有關伊朗如何獲取敏感核技術的細節。專家說,文件和其他紀錄提供了一名前蘇聯武器科學家扮演重要角色的新詳情,該名科學家被指多年來指導伊朗人建造用以引發核鏈式反應的一種高精度雷管技術。巴基斯坦和北韓專家提供的一些關鍵技術,也幫助伊朗在核領域取得突破。

  這些官員引用國際原子能機構數年來獲取的秘密情報說,報告令人更加確信伊朗在二○○三年後,仍然繼續進行與核武器有關的研發工作,而美國情報部門當時一直認為伊朗在國內外壓力下中止了這類實驗。

  伊朗官員對報告反應冷淡,曾任伊朗原子能組織主席的外交部長阿克巴爾說:「就讓他們公布,看會發生甚麼事。」他說,對伊朗核計畫的爭議「百分百政治性」,國際原子能機構「受到外國壓力」。

  以色列鼓吹先發制敵

  以色列總統佩雷斯則警告,打擊伊朗核設施的可能性空前巨大。國際原子能機構據報將指出,伊朗已經建成一個有一輛巴士大小的鋼製容器,用來測試引爆核彈所需的炸藥。衞星影像證實德黑蘭附近的帕爾欽軍事基地中存有該容器。報告也會公布,伊朗工程師曾設計核彈頭的電腦模型。

  一直被視為鴿派的佩雷斯在周末警告,以色列對伊朗核設施發動先發制人軍事打擊的可能性「愈來愈近,甚至比外交手段解決問題的可能性更大」。 不過,俄羅斯外長拉夫羅夫昨日表示,以色列若軍事打擊伊朗,將是嚴重錯誤。法國外長朱佩也表示,一定要防止對伊朗使用武力,因為一旦攻擊這個「強大」的國家,後果將「無法挽回」,全世界局勢將受到影響。

處理網路威脅 美研發攻擊性武器

路透社 – 2小時16分前
在加強打造攻擊性網路武器,讓美軍日後有望以鍵盤對敵方目標發動攻擊。

國防先進研究計劃署(DARPA)主管杜甘(Regina Dugan)表示,越來越多工業和其他如汽車等系統是以電腦控制。軍方需要「更多、更好的選擇」,來對付網路上對這些易入侵系統的威脅。

她說:「現代作戰方式要求有效使用網路、動能、以及結合兩者的作戰方式。」動能在軍事上指的是傳統作戰方式,例如投擲炸彈、發射飛彈和部署坦克車。中央社(翻譯)
http://hk.news.yahoo.com/處理網路威脅-美研發攻擊性武器-011200487.html

中俄反對大國主宰世界事務

明報明報 – 2小時57分前
中國總理溫家寶7日在聖彼得堡康斯坦丁宮會見了俄羅斯總理普京。

溫家寶表示,中俄都主張世界多樣性,反對任何大國和大國集團主宰世界事務。中方願與俄方繼續相互支持,相互幫助,攜手應對挑戰,共同推進國際政治民主化進程,推動建立公正合理的國際政治、經濟新秩序。

溫家寶說,今年來中俄高層交往頻繁,雙方政治上友好互信,經貿合作成果顯著,在國際事務中密切協作,充分體現了兩國關係的高水平。中方發展對俄關係的決心是堅定不移的,相信中俄關係將實現長期、穩定、可持續發展。

溫家寶指出,面對當前紛繁複雜的國際政治、經濟形勢,中俄作為鄰國和有重要影響力的大國,進一步加強戰略協作,鞏固傳統友誼,不僅符合兩國人民的根本利益,而且對世界和平與發展具有重要的現實意義和深遠的戰略意義。

溫家寶表示,目前中俄兩國經濟都處於較為健康的狀況,各自具有明顯的優勢,俄羅斯擁有先進的科學技術和豐富的自然資源,中國有改革開放帶來的發展優勢和廣闊的市場潛力。雙方完全可以通過優勢互補,開展全方位的長期的互利合作。雙方要抓住機遇,加強規劃和協調,進一步提升貿易、投資、金融、科技合作的規模和質量,這將極大地惠及兩國人民,增強兩國的競爭力和國際影響力,也有助於促進世界經濟的復蘇和增長。

普京表示,俄中兩國領導人保持了密切的交往和溝通,建立了高度的政治互信,有力推動了兩國關係的發展。俄中在政治、經濟、人文以及國際事務中的合作都達到了前所未有的高度,兩國有著廣泛的共同利益,面臨共同的挑戰,進一步深化全面戰略協作伙伴關係無論從雙邊,還是從全球角度都具有重要的戰略意義。俄方願與中方一道,全面落實達成的各項共識,推動兩國關係不斷取得進展,為維護世界和平、促進共同發展做出更大貢獻。
http://hk.news.yahoo.com/中俄反對大國主宰世界事務-003210928.html